Oscar Watch: Predicting Best Supporting Actress

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After last week's Oscar Watch: Predicting Best Supporting Actor, today Movie Fanatic turns to the Best Supporting Actress category. To say it's Anne Hathaway's to lose is the understatement of this Oscar season. There is no bigger lock, save Daniel Day Lewis for Lincoln.

Anne Hathaway Les Miserables

But, given that this year's Oscar race is more of a contest than in past years, there is a sliver of a chance that Miss Hathaway is not as much of a lock as she used to be several weeks ago when the Academy Award nominations were announced.

Hathaway was a revelation as Fantine, the single mother in revolutionary France who looked fate in the eye and sang I Dreamed a Dream knowing that life had gotten the best of her. As we predicted in our Les Miserables review, Hathaway has pretty much won every award offered since award season started, most recently with the SAG Awards and the Golden Globes.

But, if there is a crack in her armor it has come from a slight backlash to her acceptance speeches of all things and how she has presented herself. Sure, she has been humble, but at the same time the public has also been slightly put off.

Does that open the door for Sally Field for Lincoln? Perhaps. The Oscars can be like the presidential race in that voters sometimes can vote for one thing, straight on down the ticket. Since Movie Fanatic still believes that Lincoln will win all the big awards at this year's Academy Awards, if there was any category ripe for an upset, it is Best Supporting Actress and the woman who could pull it off is none other than Ms. Field. Want convincing? Check out this Lincoln trailer!

Sally Field in Lincoln

Amy Adams was honestly the best thing about The Master. The actors put on a clinic -- which we reported in our The Master review -- in the film about a Scientology-like religion and its magnetic leader (played by fellow nominee Philip Seymour Hoffman). And they have all been rewarded with nominations for a film that is truly a study in acting at its finest. Adams, a previous nominee -- for Doubt -- will be back again on the Oscar stage, clutching a golden trophy one day soon. It's just not this year. 

Helen Hunt marveled in The Sessions, but this year is "thanks for the nomination" time for the veteran actress who truly blew the doors off of the heartfelt and often funny film. She bared her soul in the true story as the sex therapist to John Hawkes' polio-stricken poet who seeks to lose his virginity, even as he is confined to an iron lung for many hours of the day.

Jacki Weaver is another who should be thrilled simply to be invited to the big dance. She hit all the right notes in Silver Linings Playbook as Robert De Niro's wife and Bradley Cooper's mother. The fact that all the lead actors of that film earned nods speaks volumes to the performances David O. Russell got out of his performers. Weaver was more than up to the task and the Australian actress delivered.

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