Oscar Watch: Do The Golden Globes Influence Oscar?

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The Golden Globes winners have been announced and American Hustle scored big with stars Jennifer Lawrence and Amy Adams winning their acting categories and the film taking home the trophy for Best Picture, Musical or Comedy. On the dramatic side, 12 Years a Slave won Best Picture, Drama, setting up what appears to be a collision course for the Academy Awards’ top honor. Or… does it?

Amy Adams Golden Globes

First of all, as the Hollywood Foreign Press has a different taste than the members of the voting Academy, one could argue that the winners of the Golden Globes have very little influence over what happens on Oscar night. We shall see if any of the Golden Globe winners get a boost from their victory when Academy Award nominations are announced this Thursday, January 16.

We actually think two people that were on the bubble in our Oscar nomination predictions may be helped by their victories last night: Leonardo DiCaprio for The Wolf of Wall Street and Adams for American Hustle.

DiCaprio has the unfortunate position of turning in his career-best performance (as we stated in our The Wolf of Wall Street review) during a year that is the most competitive for lead actors in recent memory.

Adams, we feel, is dueling it out with Meryl Streep in August: Osage County for the final spot in the Best Actress category with the other four spots being locks: Cate Blanchett (Blue Jasmine), Judi Dench (Philomena), Sandra Bullock (Gravity) and Emma Thompson (Saving Mr. Banks). So, yes, Adams is helped by her Golden Globe victory, but the fact that she’s going against the all-time Oscar nominations leader in Streep may cancel that out!

George Clooney Sandra Bullock Gravity

The real battle in terms of the Golden Globes and their influence over the Oscars comes in the Best Picture realm. With the Globes breaking their film awards into two categories: Drama and Musical/Comedy, we get 10 nominations. Now Oscar has expanded to allow 10 nods for its Best Picture, and if there was a year to have 10 films, it was 2013. But it is unlikely that the 10 movies that the Globes honored will be the 10 that Oscar salutes come Thursday morning.

What could happen is that race for the award of Best Picture itself has been influenced. Where Gravity, American Hustle and 12 Years a Slave were thought to be battling it out for the top honors, with their Golden Globe victories in hand, our race may be down to two… American Hustle and 12 Years a Slave.

But then again as we said before, the voters of Golden Globes (The Hollywood Foreign Press Association) and the Oscars (The Academy of Motion Pictures Arts and Sciences) are two very different beasts. And we would still put our money on Gravity remaining in the race for the top prize come Oscar night. 

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