Oscar Watch: How Do Golden Globe Winners Alter The Race?

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The Golden Globe Awards winners have been announced and there were quite a few surprises. With the Academy Awards nominations being revealed on January 15, how do the results from the big show last night affect or alter the Oscar race?

Oscars Picture

This edition of Movie Fanatic’s Oscar Watch takes a look at that very question and delves deep into the mindset of an Academy voter who was just provided with some additional materials for their voting toolbox.

First, how does The Grand Budapest Hotel winning Best Picture, Comedy or Musical over Birdman influence the Best Picture race?

It’s interesting. Although it was a shock that the Wes Anderson comedy that arrived last May won the top honor over the Michael Keaton-starring favorite Birdman (Keaton won, and still remains the front-runner for his first Oscar for Best Actor), the winner for Best Picture, Drama (Boyhood) is still our front-runner to take the Academy’s top prize.

Sure, Selma won Best Song for the inspiring Glory, but it lost to Boyhood in the Best Picture, Drama category at the Golden Globes.

We have a feeling that whoever wins the Oscar for Best Picture will be coming out of that "Drama" category and not the Comedy or Musical one. So, for us, the race for Best Picture is still between Richard Linklater’s delightful Boyhood and the supremely powerful Selma.

Speaking of Keaton and Birdman, Oscar Watch believes that after his victory and his fantastic speech (much like Matthew McConaughey did last year), the former Batman is a lock for Best Actor. We can’t imagine a world where the man who might be in Beetlejuice 2 sooner than later, does not win his first Academy Award.

Birdman Michael Keaton Edward Norton

Julianne Moore also saw chances for her first Oscar increase ever so much with her win in the Best Actress, Drama category. There was talk that Jennifer Aniston might be creeping up on her with her turn in Cake. But, Moore is a beloved actress in Hollywood and she has been robbed too many times of that golden trophy that is considered the highest honor in her field. Her victory for her role in Still Alice all but assures her needing to prepare an acceptance speech for her first Oscar win after too many near-misses.

Now, one of the surprises that might alter things is the win of How to Train Your Dragon 2 for Best Animated Feature. We have always said that this award (in terms of Oscars) was The LEGO Movie’s to lose. If there was anyone who could beat The LEGO Movie for Best Animated Feature at the Academy Awards, it would be Disney’s Big Hero 6.

But, look for DreamWorks Animation to push the heck out of its How to Train Your Dragon 2 for a serious chance at winning. Suddenly, we have a wide open race for the Best Animated Feature Oscar! If anyone knows how to woo Academy voters it's DreamWorks Animation head Jeffrey Katzenberg, who used to do that exact thing when he ran Disney!

Lastly, we think that Glory got a serious shot in the arm with its win for Best Original Song. The Common and John Legend stroke of musical mastery simply rises above the competition. If we were to bet, we’d bet everything on Glory for a Best Original Song Oscar.

Intrigued by the animation winner? Watch How to Train Your Dragon 2 online now!

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